Impacts of Connecting Highways between North and South Korea on International Travel Demand : Asian Highway 1 Route

抄録

By promoting the international transportation demand, the Asian Highway plan was expected to make considerable economical effects in the North-East Asian region. The study focuses on a part of AH1 route (i.e., South Korea-North Korea-China) and aims to analyze and forecast the variations of mode shares between South Korea and China due to the open of AH1 route. The study was performed using two main methods. First, a stated preference survey was performed to derive the actual modal share of each travel mode. Second, a disaggregate analysis was performed to develop possible mode-choice models for international passenger travel and find out the suitable choice. The results showed that the construction of the AH1 route would significantly affect the future international passenger travel modes.