MODELING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SEASONAL CONSTRAINTS AND MODAL CHOICE CHARACTERISTICS OF HIGH SCHOOL STUDENTS IN SNOWY REGIONS

Abstract

In snowy regions, there is always transportation challenges associated with seasonal changes. Until now there is no study conducted on modeling the modal choice variation of different seasons for snowy regions. Therefore this study aims to build high school students mode-choice behavior model to predict the probability of students modal choice under seasonal constraints. From the analysis result, it is observed that there occurs a modal shift from bicycle in the summer to walk (for their short distances trips), bus and passenger car in the winter. Therefore, this study tries to form the relative importance of attributes that affect the high school students mode-shift from bicycle in the summer to other modes in the winter. The result is used to suggest policy and strategic options to facilitate high school students trips.