Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
Online ISSN : 1881-1124
ISSN-L : 1341-8521
Urban / Regional Planning and Environment
BIVARIATE PROBIT MODEL OF ON-ROAD EMISSION MEASUREMENT OF PASSENGER CARS IN JAKARTA CITY
Budi Nugroho SUDARMANTOAkimasa FUJIWARAJunyi ZHANGMetin SENBIL
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2007 Volume 7 Pages 1377-1388

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Abstract
The Jakarta’s 2005 bylaw on air pollution control, stipulates that all private car owners must get their vehicles’ emission tested twice a year. The vehicle owners will be given a certificate, as a requirement to extend the vehicle’s registration. This paper describes an initial analysis of vehicle characteristics which influence to emission testing results. Analysis was done by using On-road emission measurements at nine major roads in Jakarta city and its surrounding cities. We apply bivariate probit model for the likelihood of CO and HC emission violations given a set of vehicle characteristics. The vehicle age, non-sedan, fuel type, carburetor and lambda all play a significant role in determining the probability of emission test failure. However, we didn’t find a significant effect of engine size on HC emission test failure. The results of study can be used as a preliminary review of the implementation of new regulation in Jakarta city
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© 2007 Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
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