Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
Online ISSN : 1881-1124
ISSN-L : 1341-8521
Traffic Accident and Safety
A Joint Modeling of Injury Severity and Collision Type for Examining Influential Factors of Traffic Accidents Occurring at Intersections of National Highways in Japan
Mohammad Akbar Hossain PATWARYJunyi ZHANGAkimasa FUJIWARA
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2010 Volume 8 Pages 1838-1853

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Abstract
This paper attempts to provide additional insights of using a bivariate ordered probit model to simultaneously examine influential factors that affect injury severity (IS) and collision type (CT) of traffic accidents occurring on intersections of national highways in Japan. The effectiveness of the bivariate model is re-confirmed using a large-scaled traffic accident data. The corrections between error terms of IS and CT are statistically significant, implying that there are some unobserved factors that simultaneously affect IS and CT, but are not well captured in traditional accident surveys. Six types of collisions are dealt with and their influential factors are examined with respect to both primary and secondary parties. A complicated structure of influential factors is clarified, and it is expected that such complexity cannot be properly captured based on the widely applied cross-aggregation method in practice.
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© 2010 Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
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