Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
Online ISSN : 1881-1124
ISSN-L : 1341-8521
Travel Demand Analysis and Forecast
Inter-Regional Travel Demand Analysis Using Integrated Model For Practical Travel Demand Forecast
Hironori KATO, Kotaro ENDO, Zenkichi KURITA, Yuichiro KANEKO, Kazusei KATO, Tetsuo SHIMIZU, Katsumi TANABE
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JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2011 Volume 9 Pages 239-254

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Abstract
This paper presents a latest inter-urban travel demand model for Japan. It intends the travel demand analysis for private business planning rather than government-based transportation planning. Cross-sectional data from the 2005 Interregional Travel Survey, Japan, is used for the model estimations. The model consists of three sub-models: a trip modal choice sub-model, trip distribution sub-model, and tip generation/attraction sub-model. The trip modal choice sub-model is a nested logit model including an upper tree choice of automobile and public transportation and a lower tree choice of rail, bus, and air transportation; the trip distribution sub-model is an aggregated logit model; and the trip generation/attraction sub-model is a log-linear regression model. The models are verified by comparing the estimated results with the observed data. The proposed model successfully reproduces the current travel demand.
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© 2011 Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies
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