Evaluating Demand Change Following the Development of a Bicycle-Friendly Environment

抄録

In recent years, efforts have been made to develop bicycle-friendly environments across Japan. However, such development is conducted only where roads are sufficiently wide, and thus efficient networks are not easily developed. In this situation, it is essential to accurately evaluate demand change following development and to examine how to meet network needs, while developing the areas that are easier to proceed with. Therefore, to organize the information required to evaluate demand change, we build a route choice model using data from Takamatsu city and conduct verification using data from the actual implementation of measures. The study shows that bicycle route choice is mainly affected by discontinuity and presence of turns. Furthermore, we specify the need to note partial bottlenecks and consider measures under the assumption that route choice is impromptu when we evaluate demand change.