Simulation Models for Dynamics of Wood Volume Damaged by Pine Wilt Disease

Abstract

This paper is intended to present models for describing the dynamics of actual wood volume damaged by the pine wilt disease. Applying the Kermack-McKendrick epidemic curve, we derived the simulation model and tested its applicability. However, the model is not able to explain the various situation by the structure as is. The model structure is reviewed in order to support the various situation and recognized necessity of the multiplexing of the model and the addition of the base. The new models that can express the situation more definitely are suggested.