Modeling of visits to Tokushima prefecture using location information of mobile devices

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to elucidate the characteristics of the spatial distribution of visitors to Tokushima Prefecture during peak hours on holidays. The visitor number model and the spatial distribution model were constructed for residents outside Tokushima Prefecture. The results showed that the sharing of the living area mainly influenced the number of visitors from outside the prefecture. Regarding spatial distribution, the number of visitors increases depending on the service level expressed by the number of tertiary industry workers. It is also clear that the number of visitors decreases exponentially depending on travel time. Additionally, the negative impact of travel time is greater during the recovery period compared to just before the pandemic.