Geographical Review of Japa,. Ser. A, Chirigaku Hyoron
Online ISSN : 2185-1735
Print ISSN : 0016-7444
ISSN-L : 0016-7444
Structural Analysis of Land Use Changes in the Lower Yangtze River Basin Using a Two-way Layout Model
Guofang ZHAISaburo IKEDAHidekiyo ITAKURA
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1999 Volume 72 Issue 9 Pages 600-617


The lower Yangtze River Basin is one of the most developed regions in China. Its land use shows interesting patterns from the sustainable development point-of-view. Applying a two-way layout statistical model, this paper examines the temporal and spatial changes in land use in the region.
The major findings are as follows:
(1) Temporal changes in land use can be grouped into three distinctive periods: 1986 to 1989; 1990 to 1991; and 1993 to 1994. These changes are mainly influenced by the dynamics of the domestic political economy (e. g., governmental policies, capital investment, etc.) and the environment of the international political economy.
(2) The region can be divided into six zones in terms of spatial changes in land use: 1) Shanghai; 2) the triple cities of Wuxi/Suzhou/Changzhou and the south of the Yangtze River; 3) Nanjing; 4) Nantong, Yangzhou and Zhenjiang along the Yangtze River; 5) Yancheng and Huaiyin; and 6) Xuzhou and Lianyungang in the north of the Yangtze River Basin. The spatial patterns of land use are affected by changes in the built-up and agricultural areas, rather than by changes in forestry areas.
(3) The major determinants of land use change in the lower Yangtze River Basin are population, economic growth, urbanization, infrastructure construction and capital investment.

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