International Heart Journal
Online ISSN : 1349-3299
Print ISSN : 1349-2365
ISSN-L : 1349-2365
Clinical Studies
Risk Scoring System for Prognosis Estimation of Multivessel Disease Among Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction
Kwang Sun RyuJang-Whan BaeMyung Ho JeongMyeong-Chan ChoKeun-Ho Ryuand other Korea Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry Investigators
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2019 Volume 60 Issue 3 Pages 708-714

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Abstract

Multivessel disease (MVD) is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis in acute myocardial infarction patients. Although several global risk scoring systems (RSS) are in use in clinical practice, there is no dedicated RSS for MVD in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The primary objective of this study is to develop a novel RSS to estimate the prognosis of patients with MVD in STEMI.

We used the Korean Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry (KAMIR) to identify 2,030 STEMI patients with MVD who underwent appropriate percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Their data were analyzed to develop a new RSS. The prognostic power of this RSS was validated with 2,556 STEMI patients with MVD in the Korean Working Group on Myocardial Infarction Registry (KORMI).

Six prognostic factors related to all-cause death in STEMI patients with MVD were age, serum creatinine, Killip Class, lower body weight, decrease in left ventricular ejection fraction, and history of cerebrovascular disease. The RSS for all-cause death was constructed using these risk factors and their statistical weight. The RSS had appropriate performance (c-index: 0.72) in the KORMI validation cohort.

We developed a novel RSS that estimates all-cause death in the year following discharge for patients with MVD in STEMI appropriately treated by PCI. This novel RSS was transformed into a simple linear risk score to yield a simplified estimate prognosis of MVD among STEMI patients.

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© 2019 by the International Heart Journal Association
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