Resilience by Shock Testing

抄録

The environment dominated by emerging uncertainties set a challenge to decision making. Our paper describes a method developed to plan for uncertainty. As the basis for theoretical elaboration we examine ontological uncertainty,the situation where we do not know what we do not know. We describe a method called “Seven Shocks ”planning method and its theoretical framework. The two fundamentals of the method are instrumental usage of extreme events and definition of the portfolio of resilience developing actions.