Host: The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers, The Society of Instrument and Control Engineers, The Institute of Systems, Control and Information Engineers, The Society of Chemical Engineers, The Japan Society for Precision Engineering, The Japan Society for Aeronautical and Space Sciences, The Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan
Co-host: Technically Cosponsored by 51 Societies and Institutes
Name : THE 59TH JAPAN JOINT AUTOMATIC CONTROL CONFERENCE
Location : [in Japanese]
Date : November 10, 2016 - November 12, 2016
In this study, we consider an age-structured epidemic model. We use the backstepping method in control theory to the model and obtain a threshold condition for the prediction of increase or decrease of infected population per time step. We apply the prediction method to the data of the spread of influenza in Japan from 2006 to 2015. The accuracy is more than 0.8 and higher than the alternative method based on ARIMA.