Ouyou toukeigaku
Online ISSN : 1883-8081
Print ISSN : 0285-0370
ISSN-L : 0285-0370
Contributed Papers
Tobit Type Models for Daily Precipitation and Their Applications to an Evaluation of Precipitation Derivatives
Akikuni MatsumotoHisayuki HaraKazushi NomuraKazumitsu Nawata
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JOURNAL OPEN ACCESS

2010 Volume 39 Issue 2_3 Pages 41-58

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Abstract
Weather derivatives are financial instruments whose payoffs are based on a specified weather event and are used to hedge the financial impact of weather fluctuations. In this article we focus on weather derivatives whose payoffs are based on precipitation and propose Tobit type models for predicting daily precipitation for evaluating such derivatives. Daily precipitation data take nonnegative values and are also zero-inflated. Tobit type models are suitable for such data. We illustrate practical advantage of our models with some data sets. We also apply a proposed model to an evaluation of the prices of some precipitation derivatives and their payoff functions.
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© 2010 Japanese Society of Applied Statistics
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