Abstract
The Japanese government has announced CO2 emission reduction targets of 26% by 2030. The CO2 reduction target for the automobile sector will be set based on these targets. One of the measures to reduce CO2 emissions in the automotive sector is to promote the use of electric vehicles. However, most previous studies have considered passenger cars, and there are few studies that have considered commercial vehicles. This study first surveyed the actual use of commercial vehicles then an estimation method that can consider actual use based on estimating next generation vehicle models was developed. Finally, the model was used to estimate the effect of the diffusion of electric vehicles in commercial vehicles.
