Early Detection of Shallow Slow Slip Events along the Nankai Trough

抄録

We have detected an event of pore pressure changes (hereafter, we refer it to “pore pressure event”) from borehole stations in real time in March 2020 and March 2023, owing to the network developed by connecting three borehole stations to the Dense Oceanfloor Network System for Earthquakes and Tsunamis (DONET) observatories near the Nankai Trough. Slow earthquake is thought to have longer duration time with smaller stress drop than regular earthquake under the same magnitude. This means that the slow earthquake is more sensitive to external stress perturbation and useful to monitor the processes of stress accumulation and release. However, the pore pressure is also affected by tidal and oceanic fluctuations. To overcome this problem, we use the seafloor pressure gauges of DONET stations nearby boreholes instead of the reference by introducing time lag between them. The obtained results

demonstrate the detectability of volumetric strain change for nano-scale. The volumetric strain changes are reasonably explained by the slow slip events (SSEs) in the shallow extension of seismogenic segments, which is validated by the activation of very low-frequency events (sVLFEs) from the broadband seismometers of DONET. We also investigate the impact of seafloor pressure due to ocean fluctuation on the basis of ocean modelling, which suggests that the decrease of effective normal stress from the onset to the termination of the SSE is explained by Kuroshio meander and may promote updip slip migration, and that the increase of effective normal stress for the short-term ocean fluctuation may terminate the SSE as observed in the Hikurangi subduction zone.