Journal of Japan Industrial Management Association
Online ISSN : 2432-9983
Print ISSN : 0386-4812
Demand Forecasting Based on Periodic Data
Ken'ichi MORIToshitaka KOIKE
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1974 Volume 25 Issue 2 Pages 108-114

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Abstract
An estimation of the smoothing parameters is formulated in which the data of demand shows the periodicity. The minimization of squared forecasting errors is adopted as a criterion of the estimation. Three algorithms for the minimization are attained through the use of i) Gradient method, ii) Gauss-Newton method, and iii) CRST method. In the latter case, several constraints on the smoothing parameters can be taken into account. Each algorithm is able to become an element of a forecasting system with the pre-estimation procedure and the test of forecasting errors.
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© 1974 Japan Industrial Management Association
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