2017 Volume 31 Pages 155-165
In this paper, using adjusted method of Sato and Midorikawa (2007), the possibility of widespread temporary migration after the anticipated Tokyo metropolitan earthquake was analyzed and political consideration was performed. Specifically, damage comparison between households who lose their houses and temporary housing provision in several conditions (earthquake occurrence time, decay damage of rental vacant) were calculated. In the case of the half assumption, 12 wards of Tokyo metropolis became deficient in temporary housing, and the temporary migration over the ward will be required. Finally, this paper suggested that local officer and local residents should have discussion using the calculation result of this paper for promoting concrete preparation.
