「婚活」が結婚に与える短期的な影響　――結婚への移行に関する男女比較分析――

抄録

  This paper examines the effect that marriage hunting activities have on the transition to first marriage. Whereas previous studies have mostly examined the effect of marriage hunting activities on the chances of finding a dating partner, the aim of this research was to examine the effect of marriage hunting on the chances of getting married, as one may desire to find a marriage partner more than a dating partner. Firstly, we used odds ratio to find out which activities affect one’s probability of getting married during the next year. The results were as follows. For both men and women, using matchmaking agencies to find a partner and attending omiai (arranged matchmaking meeting) and arranged matchmaking parties positively affected their probability of getting married. In addition, for women, asking parents and siblings for an introduction and, for men, asking other relatives were also related to their chances of getting married within a year. Secondly, we conducted a logistic binary regression analysis for each marriage hunting activity using age, education, annual income and desire for marriage. The results were as follows. Women who asked parents and siblings for an introduction or used matchmaking agencies to find a partner were more likely to get married within a year. Among men, attending omiai and using matchmaking agencies to find a partner positively affected their probability of getting married.