中国新疆ウイグル自治区における経済・エネルギー・環境の長期展望に関する計量経済分析

抄録

This paper conducted quantitative study on the outlook of economy, energy and environment to 2030 of China Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region by using econometric method. GDP growth will be over 7% annually between 2006 and 2030, and total primary energy consumption will double by 2030. The continuation of rapid economic growth could result in a lot of difficulties for energy development, environment protection, and CO₂ emissions reductions. For the sustainable development, more comprehensive strategies should be adopted, including development of renewable energy with highest priority, improvement in energy efficiency and automobile fuel efficiency, etc. However, substantial governmental involvements and support, as well as the establishment of a regulatory framework are necessary.