2005 Volume 18 Issue 1 Pages 11-21
The Gages River is important water resources for Bangladesh and India from the old ages, and they have been conflicting over the Ganges water resources. The distribution of water resource from the Ganges is generally advantageous to India which is placed on the upstream of the river. The conflict between Bangladesh and India has been stagnant since they have negotiated only by themselves. In such a case, participation of third party is considered.
In this study, Conflict Analysis is used for modeling. Conflict Analysis is built based on the game theory and it provides algorism to analyze equilibriums among players who have different payoff matrix. Upon this framework of Conflict Analysis, roles of third party are classified and defined into 3 types, ‘Donor’, ‘Coordinator’, and ‘Arbiter’, which are called ‘Complement’ on the whole. This model is applied to the conflict between Bangladesh and India. First, the actual situation is described by using conflict analysis. Second, the condition which is necessary to improve circumstance of current conflict is analyzed, and the role of third party which realizes this condition is considered. Third, one role of complement, ‘Coordinator’, is focused on here in particular, and it is analyzed what condition is necessary so that ‘Coordinator’ improves circumstance of conflict.
