JOURNAL OF JAPAN SOCIETY OF HYDROLOGY AND WATER RESOURCES
Online ISSN : 1349-2853
Print ISSN : 0915-1389
ISSN-L : 0915-1389
Original research article
Modeling of the World Water Dynamics at Continental Scope with Water Resources Limitation
Junpei NAKATSUKATomoharu HORIToshiharu KOJIRITeng-Sheng CHONGAN
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2007 Volume 20 Issue 1 Pages 47-54

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Abstract
This research addresses the problem of growing shortage of water resources from the world-wide viewpoints by modeling of the socio-environmental changes. There are two main objects; namely (i) to simulate and predict trends in the development of human civilization in different continents taking into account the effects of limited water resources through feedback links between water availability and the human actions, and (ii) to identify the important roles and effects of water resources that have on the growth of the world so as to aid in the planning of scenarios and policies for sustainable development. A model exploring water needs in the various continents is developed using System Dynamics. Identification of continents with acute water shortage and development limitations will also be possible with this model.
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© 2007 Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources
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