人工知能学会第二種研究会資料
Online ISSN : 2436-5556
暗黙知に基づく飲食店用不動産の賃料推定システム
荒川 周造諏訪 博彦小川 祐樹荒川 豊安本 慶一太田 敏澄
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研究報告書・技術報告書 フリー

2017 年 2017 巻 SAI-028 号 p. 01-

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In this paper, we propose a novel rent estimation method of real estate properties for restaurants. Previously determining the rent was based on the tacit knowledge, that is, intuition and experience gained by experienced salespeople. However, this business custom has problems (e.g., no evidence to the determined rent). Therefore, the transference of the knowledge and experience from the experienced salespeople to fresh one, is not effective. We propose a new rent estimation model which solves the above problems, and construct a rent estimation system based on the model. In order to build a model, we focus on the overt information and potential information. The overt information can be classified as follows: static information and dynamic information. The static information and dynamic information can be indexed by the salespeople. However, some parts of the indexing include scoring data manually by the salespeople. On the other hand, potential information can not indexed by the sales people. In this thiesis, we build the rent estimation concept model based on above three factors. In addition, we discuss about the specific challenges in building the proposed system, that are (1) acquisition and indexing of the tacit knowledge and (2) construction of a rent estimation model. To tackle the challenge (1), we interviewed the experienced salespeople of ABC-tenpo Inc., and extracted some factors related to the rent estimation. Based on the result, we determined parameters (variables) representing static information, dynamic information and potential information. To tackle the challenge (2), we developed a rent estimation model by Random Forest algorithm of machine learning. Through experiments, we confirmed that the dynamic information was most effective in estimating basic rents. Also, we confirmed that the potential information was superior in adjusting rents. Finally, the case of using all factors achieved the highest accuracy that coefficient of determination was 0.738.

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