1984 年 1984 巻 345 号 p. 123-130
The simulation technique has been used to investigate and estimate the confined ground water behaviors through the identification process. However, it seems that we have lack of attention to the objective evaluation of the simulated results themselves. The present paper is intended to propose the evaluation method of the ground water simulation by convining the kinematical and probabilistic approaches. For this purpose, the variational formulation have been made on the ground water behaviors, which gives us a useful tool to express the relationship among errors of parameter estimation boundary and initial conditions and the accuracy of the simulated result in the whole region concerned. This relationship is convined with the probabilistic concept and leads the evaluation-index of the ground water simulation.