Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu A
Online ISSN : 1880-6023
ISSN-L : 1880-6023
Paper (In Japanese)
RELIABILITY ESTIMATION FOR MAINTENANCE BY SEQUENTIAL MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
Ikumasa YOSHIDAMitsuyoshi AKIYAMAShuichi SUZUKIMasato YAMAGAMI
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JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2009 Volume 65 Issue 3 Pages 758-775

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Abstract
  Inspection or test data of specific site as well as latest knowledge of degrading mechanism should be considered in order to perform accurate reliability estimation of existing structures. This study discusses the methodology to estimate limit state probability updated by inspection or test data. The formulation with sequential Monte Carlo simulation (SMCS) is introduced for updating of model parameters and limit state probability. After demonstrating the solutions by SMCS agrees well with theoretical solutions in a linear Gaussian problem, numerical examples on updating of chloride deterioration parameter of a RC structure and three kind of limit state probability are shown.
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© 2009 by Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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