Abstract
When a city intends sustainable development, it needs to simultaneously solve multiple issues such as climate change, maintenance of infrastructure, adapting aged society, and other environmental restriction. “Compact city” has been recommended as a solution of those issues. In order to assess impact of compact land-use pattern from the view point of low-carbon society, we developed an operational methodology for analyzing future land-use change in a city. It combines macro-scale socio-economic model, which is projecting long-term direction of the society, and spatial land-use model, which describes spatial distribution of population and workers. The model was applied to hypothetical town and Koriyama city, Fukushima prefecture. Several scenarios with different pattern and strength of land-use intensification. The result suggests stronger intensification leads more introduction of distributed energy supply, however, too strong intensification may cause reduction of local transport systems such as car-sharing.
