Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering)
Online ISSN : 2185-467X
ISSN-L : 2185-467X
Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, JSCE, Vol.61
FUTURE PROJECTION ON REGIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN GIFU AND AICHI PREFECTURES BY A PSEUDO GLOBAL WARMING EXPERIMENT
Jun YOSHINOKotaro HAYASHITomonao KOBAYASHI
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2017 Volume 73 Issue 4 Pages I_127-I_132

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Abstract
 In this study, future projection onto regional heavy precipitation in Gifu and Aichi Prefectures is evaluated for the period from 2090 to 2099 by a pseudo global warming experiment using the products of the HadCM3 SRES A1B scenario run. Due to the global warming, the annual maximum daily rainfall becomes 1.5-2.0 times and the annual number of daily rainfall event greater than 100 mm is also increased by about 1.0 days. On the other hand, there are spacial differences that the impacts of the global warming are relatively small around the central part of Gifu Prefecture (corresponding to an inland mountainuous region). It is considered that, in the future climate, low-level moisture advection over the inland mountainous region is inhibited so that the heavy rainfall area shifts to the southern part of Gifu Prefecture (corresponding to an upwind lowland region).
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© 2017 Japan Society of Civil Engineers
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