Abstract
In this study, we evaluated the impact of climate change on explosive cyclone using the large ensemble climate prediction data (d4PDF) of present climate experiment 3,000 years (60 years × 50 members) and future climate experiment 5,400 years (60 years × 90 members). Explosive cyclones were extracted from sea level pressure and examined. Although the trend of increasing explosive cyclone didn't have statistical significance from the difference between present- and future-climate around Japan, the strongest explosive cyclone intensified in future-climate, and future change was estimated about -12 hPa. In addition, as a result of analyzing the explosive cyclone going through the coastal area of Japan, the proportion of strong explosive cyclone like the typhoon had increasing trend.
