SETUP OF RESOLUTIVE CRITERION FOR SEDIMENT-RELATED DISASTER WARNING INFORMATION USING LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS

Abstract

 It is difficult to deregulate sediment-related disaster warning information, for the reason that it is difficult to quantify the risk of disaster after the heavy rain. If we can quantify the risk according to the rain situation, it will be an indication of deregulation. In this study, using logistic regression analysis, we quantified the risk according to the rain situation as the probability of disaster occurrence. And we analyzed the setup of resolutive criterion for sediment-related disaster warning information. As a result, we can improve convenience of the evaluation method of probability of disaster occurrence, which is useful to provide information of imminently situation.