Journal of Japanese Society for Emergency Medicine
Online ISSN : 2187-9001
Print ISSN : 1345-0581
ISSN-L : 1345-0581
ORIGINAL ARTICLES
Risk factors for long-term hospitalization in emergency admissions based on DPC periods
Tetsuji YOSHIKAWA
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JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2026 Volume 29 Issue 4 Pages 707-713

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Abstract

Background: The increasing number of elderly emergency patients has made long-term hospitalization an important clinical issue, particularly in relation to discharge planning. This study examined risk factors for long-term hospitalization among emergency admissions based on DPC-defined hospitalization periods.

Methods: A total of 590 patients who were admitted urgently to our hospital between July and December 2022 were included. Patients discharged during DPC period I or II were classified as the short-term hospitalization group, whereas those discharged during period III or later were classified as the long-term hospitalization group. The two groups were compared using the DPC data analysis system “girasol.”

Results: The long-term hospitalization group comprised 292 patients and differed significantly from the short-term group in several variables, including age, BMI, underweight, dementia, ADL status at admission, level of consciousness at admission, certification of long-term care need, and discharge destination other than home. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified age, certification of long-term care need, and non-home discharge destination as independent risk factors for long-term hospitalization.

Conclusion: In emergency admissions, the risk of long-term hospitalization should be assessed comprehensively, taking into account not only medical conditions but also social factors surrounding the patient.

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