The Proceedings of Design & Systems Conference
Online ISSN : 2424-3078
2010.20
Session ID : 2405
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2405 Proposal of a Design Support Method for Sustainability Scenarios (1st Report) : Description Support of Forecasting Scenarios
Haruna WadaYusuke KishitaYuji MizunoShinichi FukushigeYasushi Umeda
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Abstract
Although there exist many scenario composing methods, computational support has not been provided enough for scenario design. This paper proposes a method for supporting design of new forecasting scenarios using a causal network and a storyline. This method supports creating storylines, which are assumptions of sub scenarios, as well as composing scenario text based on the causal networks and the storylines. A prototype system is developed for supporting the proposed method. The results of case study illustrated that generating the storylines of a scenario are systematically supported by using the causal network and that composing scenario text is supported by detailing the causal network and the storylines.
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© 2010 The Japan Society of Mechanical Engineers
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