年次大会講演論文集
Online ISSN : 2433-1325
セッションID: 1259
会議情報
1259 確率変数減少化手法に基づく最適重点サンプリングシミュレーションによる構造信頼性解析 : 条件付期待値原理を適用した効率的信頼性解析法(G03-10 材料力学(10)疲労・強度3,21世紀地球環境革命の機械工学:人・マイクロナノ・エネルギー・環境)
奥田 昇也小林 宏彰米澤 政昭
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会議録・要旨集 フリー

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This paper is concerned with an importance sampling method combined with the conditional expectation in simulation-based structural reliability assessment with multi-failure modes of the load and resistance parameters. First, to reduce the number of the basic random variables, let the limit state function redefined by the expected value and variance of the original one and Some limit state functions contributed to the failure probability are choosed. Second, approximated optimal importance sampling marginal densities are expressed to be proportional with the value of the conditional failure probabilities and the original p.d.f.. Next, an importance sampling simulation is executed by using importance sampling densities above determined. The proposed method gives the accurate failure probability with shorter processing time.
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© 2008 一般社団法人日本機械学会
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