Journal of UOEH
Online ISSN : 2187-2864
Print ISSN : 0387-821X
ISSN-L : 0387-821X
Quantitative Evaluation of Screening Programs for Chronic Diseases
Naohito YAMAGUCHIToshiteru OKUBOFumio FUNATANl
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1990 Volume 12 Issue 1 Pages 83-88

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Abstract
This paper addresses an epidemiologic approach to the quantitative evaluation of screening programs for chronic diseases. A new formula is advanced for the quantitative relationship between the yield of a screening program and the natural history of chronic disease, based on the two stage model of disease progression. The formula was applied to follow-up data of the participants and the proportions of cases detected by the screening were estimated as 15.3% for all diseases and 43.8% for hypertensive disorders. The formula is useful for continuous monitoring of ongoing screening programs as well as for potential impact evaluation of hypothetical programs.
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© 1990 The University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Japan
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