Sociological Theory and Methods
Online ISSN : 1881-6495
Print ISSN : 0913-1442
ISSN-L : 0913-1442
Special Section : Mathematical and Quantitative Approaches to Politics
Are Negotiators Hawkish or Moderate? :
Negotiator Selection in Two-Level Games
Keisuke IIDA
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1994 Volume 9 Issue 1 Pages 3-20

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Abstract
     The theory of two-level games seeks to integrate the models of international negotiations and domestic policymaking processes, and the existing literature has devoted its attention to the process of “ratification” as a mechanism of transmitting the preferences of domestic actors onto the contents of international agreements. However, selection of negotiators by domestic actors prior to negotiations can serve the same purpose. This article analyzes how domestic preferences affect international agreements through negotiator selection by combining a modified Downsian model and the Rubinstein bargaining model. According to this model, median voters may, under some restricted circumstances, prefer a hawkish to a moderate negotiator in order to enhance the country's bargaining power. The model clarifies the necessary conditions for such a “counter-intuitive” outcome to occur.
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© 1994 Japanese Association For Mathematical Sociology
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