Effect of HIV on Japanese Population in 2050

抄録

The Japan population decrease since 2005. In particular, the working population has begun to decrease in 1995. In the meantime, the number of AIDS patients and HIV carriers goes on increasing yet in Japan. But in the other advanced nations, they decreased. An effect of HIV is greater on the working population than senior population. In present Japan, influence from HIV carrier / AIDS to give total population is small. However, the reported number increases every year, and it is considered that the influence will grow in the future. We estimate an effect of HIV on Japanese population. In these calculations of the simulated population, the total fertility rate is used 1.29. As a result, HIV carrier decreased from about 2050.