海岸工学論文集
Online ISSN : 1884-8222
Print ISSN : 0916-7897
ISSN-L : 0916-7897
瀬戸内海における確率波高の推定
畑田 佳男山口 正隆大福 学野中 浩一森 正憲
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ジャーナル フリー

2008 年 55 巻 p. 131-135

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Shallow water wave hindcasting for each of many intense storms in the past 23 to 29 years is conducted separately in 3 sea areas of the Seto Inland Sea. The wind distributions are made on the basis of a spatial interpolation of wind data measured at many sea and coastal stations. An extreme value analysis yields estimates of 50-year return wave height and its confidence interval in the areas. A hindcast-based return wave height at each of 10 measurement stations is shown to give reasonable estimates. The return wave height is 9-11 m in the sea areas connected to the open sea, 7m in the strip areas of the inner sea where open sea waves propagate directly and a maximum of 5 m in the area dominated by local wave generation. A reanalysis of data in the public domain produces a rough agreement with the present estimate.

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© 社団法人 土木学会
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