Abstract
Scenario-driven approaches for policy planning that include uncertainty from a long-term perspective are receiving attention. In this research, the framework of scenario-driven policy planning for the sustainable basin region management is constructed; and a simulation system for organic matter cycling policy is established. Concretely, in order to grasp the material flow in the whole basin region due to policy introduction, a material balance table incorporating the industrial linkage is constructed Moreover, the GIS-based evaluation system in order to examine the treatment boundary setting and facilities location for each cycling measure is developed. Furthermore, four alternative organic matter cycling policies are adopted and then evaluated using the pdicy simulation system constructed. As the result, the changes in material flow of the whole drainage basin when plural organic matter cycling measures are introduced are shown. Also, it was made possible to express the measure effect in terms of cost, final disposal quantity and carbon dioxide discharge dimensions.
