有明海における台風時の高潮・波浪・打上げ・越波リアルタイム予測システムに関する研究

抄録

A real-time forecast system for storm surges and waves in Ariake Sea is developed to include wave runups and overtopping discharges as more appropriate warning system for the residents. This real-time warning system consits of simplified and suitable tuned theoretical and empirical prediction models. In the system, runup predictions are carried out the Savile's method of which validity was checked by employing the numerical model called as the CADMAS-SURF for cases applies to the target condition in the Ariake Sea area. By using this system, administrators can make decisions evaculation in advance. However, it is still necessary to develop more sophisticated and valuable information as the warning system.