JAPANESE PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW
Online ISSN : 2433-4650
Print ISSN : 0386-1058
SPECIAL ISSUE: Make Statistics Great Again
Statistics is not alchemy
Kenichi Hayashi
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JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

2018 Volume 61 Issue 1 Pages 147-155

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Abstract

In this paper, the features of Bayesian hypothesis evaluation and statistical modelling are compared with those of the frequentist paradigm. Bayesian statistics enjoys the recent development of computers and software for data analysis. However, such benefit may cause two main problems. One problem is the neglect of effort to specify the details of statistical models or prior information, each of which is carefully considered in traditional statistical data analysis. The other problem is the futile exploration of models owing to flexible manipulation of probabilistic programming languages. Furthermore, for a fair comparison, this paper provides some situations that are suitable for Bayesian and frequentist statistics, respectively. The message of this paper is the importance of quantifying hypotheses and constructing statistical models as clearly as possible in a subjectively interpretable manner.

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© 2018 JAPANESE PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW
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