Japanese Journal of Southeast Asian Studies
Online ISSN : 2424-1377
Print ISSN : 0563-8682
ISSN-L : 0563-8682
Population
Demographic Theories and Population Projections
With Special Reference to Southeast Asia
Shigemi Kono
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1981 Volume 19 Issue 1 Pages 5-18

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Abstract
 This paper reviews the basic theories underlying the current practice of the United Nations and other international population projections covering the less developed countries, particularly those of Southeast Asia. In the field of demographic projections, the most basic frames of reference for assumptions on the future course of fertility and mortality are the demographic transition theory and threshold hypothesis, but other than these very little use has been made of population theories. Not much has been done so far to incorporate socioeconomic factors within the framework of population projections. This paper explores the reasons why and tries to find ways to utilize some new developments in population theories by Caldwell and Knodel.
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© 1981 Center for Southeast Asian Studies, Kyoto University
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