Abstract
The effects of hindsight biases are clarified to hide the creativities in enterprise inno-
vations. The two stages of enterprise innovations are analyzed, and the two models of emergence
mechanisms are proposed from the viewpoint of complex science. The first type is the emergence of
strategic behaviors caused by ‘Ba’ to which few persons contribute. The problem-solving discourse
between two persons are analyzed, and the discourse is classified into three inference categories of
deduction, induction or abduction. By plotting these as innovation diagram, it is found that the emer-
gence processes show fine structures of the successive chains of micro-abductions. This suggests that
creativity may be governed by the acceptance of meaningless hypotheses created by micro-abductions
in ‘Ba’. The second type is the emergence of organizational culture caused by accumulated strategic
behaviors. This mechanism is shown to be the chaotic transition from old organizational culture to
new one. This chaotic transition is due to ‘transfer-crisis’ of chaotic state through the instability of
strategic behaviors via enforced learning of the schema of old experienced strategic behaviors. The
differences and relations of these two types of the emergence mechanisms are discussed. And the
implications and applications of this idea are also discussed.
