Using a battery of specification error tests, I find several regime shifts in the Japanese money demand since early 1960's to the present in both
M1 and
M2CD. I conclude that the real partial adjustment model
a la Goldfeld with appropriate interest rate variable, to be solid in terms of sign conditions, significance of estimated coefficients and tests of misspecifications. Estimated
M2CD function displays a remarkably solid forecasting ability, and it tracks the rapid growth of Marshallian
K2 after 1986.
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