We constructed a three-dimensional (3-D) subsurface structure model beneath the Wakayama Plain by combining the following three results: (1) the distributions of the depth of the sediment-bedrock interface and P-wave velocity in a sedimentary layer (referred to as Shoubudani Group) were estimated from the seismic reflection survey and the gravity prospecting, (2) the distributions of S-wave velocity and density of the sedimentary layer were estimated by using the relational expression between three physical properties (P- and S-wave velocity and density) derived from the deep borehole exploration data in the Osaka Group, which is a sedimentary environment similar to the Shoubudani Group and (3) a alluvium thickness distribution was also estimated by spatially interpolating the shallow borehole exploration data. The validity of the proposed model was confirmed by the correspondence in peak periods between the H/V spectra estimated from single-station three-component microtremor observations and Rayleigh wave ellipticity based on a 1-D velocity structure model beneath each observation point in the 3-D model.
Based on the geological survey information on the MTL, we set up fault rupture models of the Negoro and Gojyodani segments for the strong motion prediction in the Wakayama Plain spreading to the south side of the MTL. Using the fault rupture model and the 3-D subsurface structure model, the strong ground motions on the engineering bedrock were synthesized by the hybrid approach combining the SGF and FD methods. We also obtained seismic intensity distribution on the ground surface by applying the one-dimensional equivalent linearization technique to the alluvium layer model. In the plain, the strong shaking area was found at 1 to 2 km apart from MTL's fault trace. And this area was moved in accordance with the position of initial rupture point on the fault (set on the west or east sides)..
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