A conventional nomogram, based on creatinine clearance (CCR), was developed to provide an individualized, optimized, dosage regimen for the carbapenem antibacterial agents, meropenem (MEPM) and doripenem (DRPM), in elderly patients. The nomogram was developed using the Monte Carlo simulation method, to achieve an 80% probability of maintaining plasma drug levels above the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) for over 40% of the time (40% TAM), based on pharmacokinetic–pharmacodynamic (PK–PD) parameters obtained from population parameters of Japanese adult patients. Data on 35 patients (MEPM) and 29 patients (DRPM) treated according to a dosage regimen determined using the nomogram were then compared with data on 33 patients (MEPM) and 26 patients (DRPM), respectively, treated without using the nomogram. The intervention effect was evaluated retrospectively by comparing the rate of achievement of 40% TAM, daily dose, administration interval, length of administration period, clinical response and adverse events (AEs) of the two groups for the two corresponding drugs. After the introduction of the nomogram (the intervention), the achievement of 40% TAM was significantly increased for both drugs: MEPM from 75.8% to 94.3% (p=0.03), DRPM from 61.5% to 90.7% (p=0.01). The total daily dose was also significantly increased: MEPM from 0.92±0.28 g to 1.10±0.40 g (p=0.04); DRPM from 0.46±0.17 g to 0.53±0.09 g (p=0.01). The number of patients receiving once a day administration was dramatically reduced using the normogram compared with before the intervention: MEPM from n=9 to n=3 (p=0.04), DRPM from n=8 to 0 (p<0.01), and the length of antibiotic therapy was significantly decreased: MEPM from 10.0±3.7 days to 8.5±3.8 days (p=0.04), DRPM from 10.7±3.7 days to 8.4±3.2 days (p=0.03). The time taken for body temperature to be maintained below 37.0℃ for more than 24 h was shorter following the intervention than it had been before the intervention (MEPM 3.9±1.7 days from 4.5±1.6 days, p=0.04; DRPM 4.1±1.6 days from 4.8±1.7 days, p=0.04). The clinical failure rate for DRPM was significantly lower after the intervention (from 7 to 2, p=0.04), while for MEPM the difference was insignificant (from 5 to 3). No severe AEs were observed. Overall, the use of the proposed nomogram, which uses renal function data to calculate the optimized dosage regimen for carbapenems for individual elderly patients, seems to offer promising treatment-enhancing prospects.
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