Journal of Real Options and Strategy
Online ISSN : 1884-1635
Print ISSN : 1881-5774
ISSN-L : 1881-5774
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Displaying 1-3 of 3 articles from this issue
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  • Kimitoshi Sato, Kyoko Yagi, Katsushige Sawaki
    2023 Volume 15 Pages 1-16
    Published: 2023
    Released on J-STAGE: December 25, 2023
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

    In this paper we consider optimal timing (starting and ending) of the lockdown as an optimal stopping problem with entry and exit decisions as well as decisions relating to restriction on the social economic activities. The model involves a trade-off between economic activities and human health cares. Optimal threshold policies are shown when payoff functions are linear under specific assumptions. We also explore properties of the upper and lower threshold numerically with respect to parameters.

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  • Kazuya Ito, Yuto Takano, Ryuta Takashima
    2023 Volume 15 Pages 17-38
    Published: 2023
    Released on J-STAGE: December 25, 2023
    JOURNAL FREE ACCESS

    The main problems associated with the spread of renewable energy hinder further decarbonization, especially regarding the electricity supply-demand balance. The current practical solution for these problems is continuous investment in thermal power generation. In this study, we focus on investment decisions in new thermal power plants under uncertainty and capacity mechanism, and analyze the effectiveness of the mechanism and its future design, by applying the real options approach. We found that the capacity mechanism provides incentives for investment in a situation where renewable energy diffusion reduces thermal generation utilization and increases uncertainty in electricity prices.

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