In this study, we performed multivariate analyses on regional economic movements at the prefectural level using data representing regional economies. Various findings were obtained from this study.
First, the factors driving regional economies change with the economic and social backgrounds of each period. During a high economic growth period the industrial structure has a significant impact (for example, lower primary and higher secondary/tertiary industry ratios bring a higher economic potential), but the factor is less significant. This may be because the industrial structure largely governs regional economies during the economic growth period, while other factors more strongly affect the economic potential as the economic structure becomes more advanced and complicated with an increase in the service economy.
Second, the financial capability index and the academic background index move regional economies consistently to positive growth through the periods. On the other hand, except for a few exceptions, per-head budget allocations from the central and local governments for public works projects negatively affect regional economies. This implies that reliance on the budget allocations does not eventually contribute to the regional economic power.
Third, as time advances from the high economic growth period to the modern times, the affect of the Z2-axis, i.e. the axis for employment and living, weighs greater than the Z1-axis, i.e. the axis for economy and finance. This suggests that the factors affecting regional economies are shifting from the industrial to the employment and living structures.
Fourth, the gaps between regions have narrowed in the trend. During the shift from the industrial age to the service economy age the gap widened, but the gap appears to gradually narrow as each region takes measures to change the industrial structure. However, regions that rely on public works and a low academic background ratio may face a severe environment.
Next we performed a comparative analysis of the interesting regions and the above mentioned affects were demonstrated in each case. This model was shown to be effective to clarify the features of individual regional economies. Therefore, we can analyze the economic structure of individual regions by applying this model to study the local economic measures.
JEL Classification: R11
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