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  • *林 俊郎, 石丸 梓
    日本社会情報学会全国大会研究発表論文集
    2007年 22 巻
    発行日: 2007年
    公開日: 2010/01/22
    会議録・要旨集 フリー
    The news about the attempted poisoning of Ukrainian presidential candidate with dioxin was given wide coverage in the world media. The author attempted to calculate the amount of dioxin with which the candidate was poisoned,taking into consideration his toxic intake from the viewpoint of the Yusho investigation previously reported in Japan. The candidate's toxic intake was calculated at 1.75-2.20 mg-TEQ. Thi value fairly agrees with the maximum incubative amount that exhibits toxic symptoms,mainly chlor-acne.
  • 石郷岡 建
    比較経済研究
    2015年 52 巻 2 号 2_33-2_50
    発行日: 2015年
    公開日: 2015/07/07
    ジャーナル フリー
    2003年に始まったウクライナ危機の背景には何があるのか? 大統領選挙を中心とした投票行動(政治的意思表示)から分析すると,独立以降の選挙では,常に,東西対立の問題が底流に流れており,住民の間のアイデンティティの違い,特に,使用言語の違いが大きな意味を持っている.国家統一のためには,住民のアイデンティティの統一が急務だが,現状では,その道筋は示されていない.ウクライナの将来は厳しい情勢にある.
  • 塩原 守人
    精密工学会誌
    2005年 71 巻 2 号 163-166
    発行日: 2005/02/05
    公開日: 2009/04/10
    ジャーナル フリー
  • グローバリズム・リージョナリズム・ナショナリズム-21世紀における役割を模索するアジア-
    中井 和夫
    国際政治
    1997年 1997 巻 114 号 135-150,L13
    発行日: 1997/03/30
    公開日: 2010/09/01
    ジャーナル フリー
    The first Ukrainian state already has lasted five years. But it does not mean the end of long dreamed of statism, but the beginning of hard ways for building a nation.
    The border of Ukraine has a peculiar character. Almost all border lines were drawn by dividing regions, each of which comprised historically one region. This condition also makes the task of building a nation difficult.
    In the western part of Ukrainian border, such regions are Galitsia, Carpathian, Bukovina and Bessarabia. If you turn to the east, there are two divided regions, the Donbass and the Slobidska Ukraine.
    The Ukrainian border was made by dividing regions that caused difficulties in building the Ukrainian nation-state. Because of the dividing the regions automatically made Ukrainian Diaspora or irredenta outside Ukraine. In Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Moldova and Russia, Ukrainians have been living as a minority group. At the same time the opposite sides, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Moldova and Russia, consider the regions which were incorporated with Ukraine their irredenta. Between Ukraine and Russia there is another but major border dispute on the Crimean Peninsula.
    Ukraine herself is divided into two parts, Eastern and Western. The Western part of Ukraine, called Galicia, has some characteristics which are not seen in other parts of Ukraine.
    On the contrary to the Galicia, eastern and southern parts of Ukraine have different characteristics. The Donbass and Crimea belong to these regions. These regions have strong tles with Russia although they belong to Ukraine. The Crimea, now an autonomous republic in Ukraine, belonged to Russia until 1954. A part of the Donbass was belonged to Russia before the 1917 revolution as the Don Army District.
    The contrast between the West and the East in Ukraine can be seen on the map. There is an interesting piece of evidence to show the dichotomy between the West and the East. It shows the change of support for the first president Leonid Kravchuk and the second president Leonid Kuchma. In Ukraine we can hear a new Ukrainian proverb, saying, “Ukrainian Presidents born in the East will die in the West”. This proverb well explains the dichotomy between the East and the West in Ukraine.
    For Nation-building in Ukraine there are some obstacles in terms of integration of people into one consolidated group. Ukraine is divided not only by geography but also by culture and identity.
    Language problems may be the most visible problem in today's Ukraine. The second obstacle for the integration of the Ukrainian nation-state is religious splits among the people. Ukraine is, of course, a secularized state. But the history of the suppression of national churches such as the Uniate Church (Ukrainian Catholic Church) and Ukrainian Orthodox Church made these churches political factors.
    Ukrainians have failed to form a nation-state. Russians have also failed to form their own nation-state. Russians have always been a subject of a big empire, first the Russian Empire and next the Soviet Union. Above all things they carried out their mission to build and maintain an empire. Ukrainians, in contrast, are eager to build their own nation-state, not an empire. This is an identity difference between two nationalities. And this difference reflects the dichotomy in Ukraine between the East and the West.
    The geopolitical position of Ukraine in the International arena has been a factor of difficulties for the building a nation state. For Ukraine, located between the West and the East, between Germany and Russia, inevitably it has been geopolitically in either a buffer zone or a battleground. In the Northern War in 18th century, the Napoleonic War, Crimean War, World War I and World War II, Ukraine was one of the major battlefields. After the end of the Cold War and the collapse of the Soviet Union the region which includes the territory of Ukraine became a battlefield between Europe and Russia b
  • 新しいヨーロッパ-拡大EUの諸相
    六鹿 茂夫
    国際政治
    2005年 2005 巻 142 号 95-112,L12
    発行日: 2005/08/29
    公開日: 2010/09/01
    ジャーナル フリー
    The European Union elaborated its European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP) in May 2004. The policy seeks to make the EU's new neighbours democratic, stable and prosperous, and to assure the security of the EU, but, at the same time, to avoid promising these new neighbours accession to the Union. To accomplish its objectives, the EU has concluded with these states an Action Plan which stipulates goals as benchmarks to be realised with regard to democratisation and market economic reform. Nevertheless, there has been concern whether the ENP will succeed or not, as it does not assure EU membership to the new neighbours, in contrast to the prior EU enlargement into Central and Eastern Europe. The success or failure of the ENP, in particular towards the Western New Independent States (WNIS)-Ukraine, Moldova and Belarus-will influence not only the stability of these states and the security of the EU, but also the future of European and Eurasian international geopolitics. Therefore, this article analyses the likelihood of success or failure of the ENP towards the WNIS, focusing on: 1) EU-WNIS relations, 2) WNIS-Russian relations, and 3) EU-Russia relations in relation to the WNIS. Finally, the impact of the later Orange Revolution in Ukraine and the Orange Evolution in the Republic of Moldova on this analysis will be assessed.
    The conclusion reached in this analysis is that, the only thing that the EU can do is to encourage Ukraine and Moldova to accomplish the benchmarks without assuring them of accession to the Union (which means a lack of stimulation for their political and economic reforms) and without obtaining Russian cooperation in stabilizing this region. In addition, prior to the Orange Revolution, both states were interested in accession to the EU, but they fluctuated between closer relations with the EU or with Russia, as they were situated between the two from political, economic, identity, and geopolitical points of view. Furthermore, Russia made efforts to keep the two states within its sphere of influence. Therefore, it was quite difficult to expect that the beneficial effects of conditionality for EU enlargement on Central and Eastern Europe would also occur in the case of the WNIS. With regard to the future relations between the EU and Belarus, there were no prospects for the normalisation of relations at the time.
    However, in the light of the Orange Revolution in Ukraine and the Orange Evolution in Moldova, the above conclusions have been re-evaluated. The Orange Revolution demonstrated that civil society has matured in Ukraine, and that it is a promoter of democracy and market economics-benchmarks in the Action Plan. The contrast between, on the one hand, the old-fashioned methods used by Russia to influence Ukraine and Moldova and, on the other, the methods used by U. S. -European international democratisation NGOs in their relations with the domestic NGOs which contributed to the Orange Revolution and Evolution in the two countries, has made it inevitable that both states are now approaching the EU and the U. S., while keeping a distance from Russia. The Orange Revolution and Evolution have also led to a more serious involvement of the EU in both states than the Action Plan stipulated. In any event, observers will have to wait until the final results are made clear in the EU Commission report concerning the implementation of the Action Plan to be published in two years.
  • 広瀬 研吉
    年次大会講演要旨集
    1995年 10 巻
    発行日: 1995/10/05
    公開日: 2018/01/21
    会議録・要旨集 フリー
  • 藤森 信吉
    ロシア・東欧研究
    2002年 2002 巻 31 号 164-180
    発行日: 2002年
    公開日: 2010/05/31
    ジャーナル フリー
    This paper aims to analyze the development of parliamentary systems in Ukraine.
    Since independence, Ukraine held parliamentary elections three times (1994, 1998, 2002) .
    There are many articles which analyzed these elections. Their approaches were characterized by two. First of all, they were using the left-right ideology scale to analyze them. For instance, parliamentary camps would be classified by this scale. The Communist party of Ukraine was located on the left edge, on the other hand Ukraine nationalists parties were located on the opposite side. Secondly, the political party was their central analysis unit in these studies.
    However, these approaches have two problems. First, ideology issues are not the central matter of current political arena. It is insignificant to use this scale to classify today's the political parties. Second, political parties are less important actors during the elections and the session of the parliament. As for elections, independent candidates and the electoral blocks are dominant. Also, parliamentary procedures are ran by the fractions, which are the compositions of independents, parties and blocks. There is little coincidence between the three. This is especially for independents who are less ideologized and frequently change their belongings. Once those deputies form their own parties or fractions, few of them are alive by the time of the next elections. Third, these less ideologized deputies, called “Centrist, ” become more important within the current political arena. We should consider these forces as a main unit of our research.
    The Centrists begin their career as a high rank bureaucrat or directors of large state industries. Since each of them individually retained certain political resources, they did not form any organization such as political party. The rise of the Super-Presidentilaism and the large scale economic reform as well as the introduction of proportional representation, all had an impact on these Centrists. New counter-elites emerged from the privatization and diversification of economic interests, confront old elites. This drove old and new elites to organize each political structure to compete against each other. Also, they had a interest to support the president not to revive old communist regime.
    Last year's elections proved the above mentioned tendency. The ideologized parties lost their momentum. On the other hand, the Centrists' parties gained more seats than the previous elections. Furthermore, we observed that the Centrists' split into pro and anti presidential camps within the parliament. This will be the strong evidence of how Ukrainian parliament works well.
  • ようこそ,「インフォカリプス」の世界へ
    清水 知子
    メディア研究
    2022年 101 巻 65-80
    発行日: 2022/08/10
    公開日: 2022/11/22
    ジャーナル フリー

    This paper focuses on the media strategies of Russia and Ukraine, both currently at war, and examines the future of violence and media studies in the 21st century. It also examines the strategic use of alternative media and its potential.

    At the core of Putin’s diplomacy is Aleksandr Dugin’s "Neo-Eurasianism," Russia’s power bloc concept that resists globalism. This vision has been supported by "hybrid warfare," which combines a military approach with non-military approaches such as cyber-attacks and psychological warfare through disinformation. The non-military approach in "hybrid warfare" not only functions as a tool to turn a blind eye to Russia’s monopoly on violence. Deep fakes and bots have now become a "weapon" in political or military conflicts. What is particularly noteworthy is that these attacks exploit the weaknesses of the idea of liberal democracy in the West.

    On the other hand, Zelensky’s media strategy brings a sense that media and reality are connected to the ground, because of his effective use of social media and a Ukrainian political satire comedy television series Servant of the People that a high school teacher acted by Zelensky is unexpectedly elected President of Ukraine. In this context, it seems that social media has become a "weapon" that functions as a place to raise questions about the war in a "social" way.

    However, war is a struggle between nations, and the visual aspects of war are controlled in various ways. If we frame the war through the media in terms of a simple dichotomy of Russia versus Ukraine, we will make a huge mistake. Rather, what is important is to question the violence of the war itself. Therefore, this paper examines the media and the practice of nonviolence. In doing so, I argued that the future of media studies depends on how we respond to the truth, or so-called "Parresia," in a situation where everything is monitored, controlled, selected, and/or erased as noise.

  • ―選挙監視の効果についての理論的考察―
    湯川 拓
    国際政治
    2018年 2018 巻 192 号 192_81-192_96
    発行日: 2018/03/30
    公開日: 2018/12/19
    ジャーナル フリー

    A striking tendency of the post-Cold War international community is its designation of a specific political system—namely democracy—as ideal domestic regimes as well as the rewards (and sanctions) that it hands out in response to democratization (and autocratization). As part of this, international election monitoring has become standardized as a representative method for promoting democratization. Existing theoretical research on international election monitoring has come to examine why election monitoring suddenly spread as an accepted practice. At the same time, despite limited case studies on the influence or effects of international monitoring, theoretical research has been scarce.

    This paper examines the effects of election monitoring by taking the theoretical perspective of “three types of information.” I posit that the assessment resulting from election observation is transmitted as information respectively to 1) the international community, 2) the population of the country under observation, and 3) the government of the country under observation, and that this influences the subsequent behavior of those actors.

    In the first instance, the election monitoring informs the international community about the level of democratization achieved by the country under observation. This information may at times lead to sanctions in the form of a withdrawal of aid. At the same time, election monitoring becomes an important way for a developing country that hopes to be rewarded for its democratization to demonstrate to the international community that it is now truly democratic.

    In the second instance, it informs the people of the country under observation about whether or not the political process is democratic. Reports about electoral fraud may lead to popular protests, but for a government that is operating an actual democratic system, election observers play a deeply significant role as third-party witnesses who can attest to it before the people.

    In the third instance, it serves to clarify the international standard for fair elections to the government of the country under observation. This paper takes particular note of the international dimension of the creation of electoral authoritarianism, which refers to how the acquisition of the aforementioned information has allowed some states to adapt to the international standard and become so-called “electoral authoritarian” states.

    Furthermore, when we consider that a single report from an election monitoring mission imparts information to multiple recipients, this allows us to integrate and organize the arguments of previous studies into a single framework from the viewpoint of information. This opens up the possibility for an examination of the political consequences of election observation from a composite perspective.

  • 下斗米 伸夫
    ロシア・東欧研究
    2014年 2014 巻 43 号 21-42
    発行日: 2014年
    公開日: 2016/09/09
    ジャーナル フリー

    This essay traces on the evolvements of Russian political class over the issue of Ukraine from the demise of the USSR to 2014 crisis, culminating in the annexation of the Crimea peninsula. Russian attitudes towards the rebirth of Ukraine nationalism were ambiguous, especially among elite level.

    The August coup against the Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev took place in Ukraine, where its nationalistic elements were independent oriented, while the conservatives, including the military industrial complex were negative. After the December 1991 referendum, where opinions were in favor for independence, Leonid Kravchuk, once ideological secretary of the Ukraine communist party could rely on the support of the West oriented voice of western Ukraine, where European and Catholic influence was vocal. From the Russian point of view, this region was alien from the Orthodox tradition and was never been part of the Russian Empire. Thus, Ukraine as the nation state was weak and far from united as political identity was concerned. Economy was also divided between agrarian west and the east, where Soviet type of military industrial complex was dominant. This east-west divide caused political instability in Ukraine, that was revealed when Kravchuk was replaced by Kuchima who first relied on the support of Russian speaking east, though he eventually turned to the west.

    Moscow was particularly concerned the fate of the Black Sea fleet and Crimea, where Russians were dominant and never belonged to Ukraine until 1954, when Nikita Khrushchev, Ukrainian oriented Soviet leader changed the status of Crimea from Russia to Ukraine. Though Russian President Boris Yel’tsin was in favor for the Ukraine status quo, his nationalistic minded semi-oppositionists like Moscow Mayor Luzhkov were against the Ukraine position overt the fleet and Crimea. It was only pragmatism of Yevgeny Primakov, Foreign Minister, who could pass the bill on the partnership in 1997.

    New President Vladimir Putin was more oriented Russian nationalism, and was particularly against the color revolution, when western oriented President Yushchenko won over the East oriented Yanukovich in a 2004 election. East-West divide, coupled with the corruption and ungovernavility, became Kremlins worry on Ukraine. Still they succeeded in winning Yanukovich victory in the following election and could deal over the 25 years continuation of the Black Sea Fleet, in turn for cheaper gas supply in 2010.

    Ukraine thus became a grand over which domestic East-West divide was coupled by the influence of the NATO-EU and Moscow contested. The Maidan revolution was thus seen from Kremlins nationalists oriented policy makers to be an attempt to cut the influence of Russia over Ukraine. The Izborskii club or another religious-Orthodox oriented politicians were thus backing sudden policy changes of the President Putin, who took Maidan revolution as another attempt of regime change by the West, and eventually annexed the Crimea Peninsula. Thus, in turn, brought about the civil war situation, particularly in the east Ukraine, that was already uncontrolled by neither Moscow nor Kiev authority.

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