農業気象
Online ISSN : 1881-0136
Print ISSN : 0021-8588
ISSN-L : 0021-8588

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統計的ダウンスケーリングによる気候変化シナリオ作成入門
飯泉 仁之直西森 基貴石郷岡 康史横沢 正幸
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ジャーナル フリー 早期公開

論文ID: 66.2.5

この記事には本公開記事があります。
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This article outlined the statistical downscaling methods (SDMs) and how they derive climatic inputs for the impact models (referred to as the climate change scenario) from the outputs of dynamic global/regional climate models. To help select an appropriate method from various SDMs, the authors categorizes the SDMs into four functional categories, i.e. (1) temporal disaggregation, (2) spatial disaggregation, (3) estimation of elements not directly supplied by climate models, and (4) bias correction, and referred to some anecdotal studies of each category. In addition, a practical example of the generation of climate change scenario at a site was demonstrated to provide a concrete image for researchers trying to use SDMs. This introductory guide will help select an appropriate SDM to fill the gap between accessible climate model outputs and the requirements of impact studies.
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© 2010 The Society of Agricultural Meteorology of Japan
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