RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN CRIME RATE OF DWELLING BURGLARY AND LOCAL CONTEXT : On neighbourhoods in 29 wards and cities in Tokyo

Abstract

This paper aims to explain the risk of dwelling burglary with factors representing physical and socio-demographic context of neighbourhoods and make clear the relationship among them with SEM (structural equation modeling). The following are main information got in this paper, which enables evidence-based crime reduction. ・Higher density, larger family and larger daytime population reduce the risk, which probably provide high level of natural surveillance. ・There is higher risk in neighbourhoods with high rate of rented houses. ・There is higher risk in neighbourhoods with high building coverage ratio whereas there is lower risk in those with high floor area ratio. In conclusion, it is suggested that a holistic approach should be taken considering community safety as an aspect of quality of life.