複層化セルオートマトン法と地理情報システムによる地方都市の人口変動予測システムの開発

抄録

We have already proposed the cellular automata (CA) with the approach of the cohort-component method and the quantitative geography. The population fluctuation estimate system has been developed based on this method. In this report, a model on our CA with the geographic information system for the population fluctuation estimation is presented. Especially, the population change is processed by primary unit data on the geography that sticks to not the modeled mesh data but life. This system applies to three local municipality where the element components of a geography condition and a demographic structure are different. As a result, it is shown that information of each regional population change can be adequately offered.