Abstract
The purpose of this study is to make clear how the initial land-use effects on the probability of the land turning into housing lots. An empirical study using digital national land information was done for Kagawa Prefecture. By the result of the principal component analysis, it became clear that the variables concerning the land use representing many of information on other variables. It seems that this is the reason why the good estimation of the probability of the land turning into housing lots is possible only by the initial land-use.
